Republicans keep Kansas House seat in special election

Kansas 4th District congressional candidate Ron Estes right and Sen. Ted Cruz who came to Wichita to campaign for Estes the day before a special election speak to the media during a news conference before their rally at Yingling Aviation Monday April

Kansas 4th District congressional candidate Ron Estes right and Sen. Ted Cruz who came to Wichita to campaign for Estes the day before a special election speak to the media during a news conference before their rally at Yingling Aviation Monday April

The Republicans infused the Estes campaign with additional funds, produced automated phone calls recorded by Trump, and sent in Republican US Senator Ted Cruz on Monday to campaign on Estes' behalf.

#BKP questions whether the voters in Witchita Kansas did not see Estes as a strong candidate, have already turned against President Donald Trump, or are they holding the Republicans in The House of Representative responsible for not repealing and replacing Obama Care.

After Kansas Democrats came close Tuesday to winning a special election in an otherwise solidly conservative U.S. House district, their S.C. counterparts are hopeful they can pull off an upset in the Palmetto State's 5th District.

So what does it mean?

"Everybody's internal numbers on both sides didn't have this being a race in time to start a field operation", said Ian Russell, who served as DCCC's political director previous year.

The GOP candidate, State Treasurer Ron Estes, was better known than his Democratic opponent. "For that matter, if Republicans do well, Democrats shouldn't panic either; Republicans faced two dispiriting special election losses in NY and one in Pennsylvania before their 2010 landslide wins".

Also, the National Republican Congressional Committee spent almost $100,000 on ads in the closing days. And Democrats were hoping to serve up the first election rebuke of Trump.

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Campaign manager Colin Curtis said at the time that state Democrats had the opportunity to win the district for the first time in 23 years but that it felt like a lot of the current establishment of the party was "sitting on the sidelines".

Yes, Democrats came closer than they ever should have in the 4th District.

Trump won Kansas' fourth district by 27 points in November. This was just one special election, and upcoming special elections in Georgia and Montana will show if Kansas is part of a trend.

Last year, the Republican Rep. Mike Pompeo (now the president's Central Intelligence Agency director) won re-election by more than 30 points.

Estes said in his victory speech Tuesday night that his campaign showed political pundits and national media that they were wrong in suggesting he could lose the race. The "Indivisible" movement started by a few former Democratic congressional staffers has spread across the country; the group says there are now 5,800 local Indivisible groups, including at least two in every congressional district.

"It's absolutely moving much more quickly and with higher quality candidates" than in previous cycles, including in 2006 when Democrats took back the House. After all, if a Democrat could win a district that Trump won big, why couldn't a Democrat win a district Republicans only carried by single digits? "By contrast, Pompeo won re-election in November by 31 percentage points and 85,000 votes".

"I wanted to run in 2018 one way or the other", he said at an event with supporters. "We've got to work on that to make us more competitive and help our economy grow and get more jobs". Estes, by most reports, was a lackluster candidate who ran an uninspiring race.

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